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VENEZUELA : Dolar Paralelo hoy Jueves BsF. 74,11 y Euro BsF. 98,02


Mientras el Gobierno Elimina Cadivi y mantiene el tipo de cambio a Bs 6,30

Todos los sectores de la economía tendrán una ganancia máxima de 30%

DolarToday / Jan 16, 2014 @ 6:15 am

DolarToday actualiza diariamente tres (3) valores de referencia para el Dólar paralelo.

 El primero se basa en el cambio fronterizo con la ciudad de Cúcuta y es determinado en función a oferta/demanda de Bolívares en esa ciudad. 

El segundo (Implícito) es calculado utilizando la información del Banco Central de Venezuela, mas específicamente, tomamos la Liquidez monetaria (M2) y la dividimos entre las reservas Internacionales, el resultado es el monto del Dolar Implícito. 

El tercer valor es simplemente el promedio de los dos anteriores.

¿Como calculamos los valores de hoy?

 Para el caso del Dolar en Cúcuta tomamos la cantidad de Pesos Colombianos que nos piden por un Dolar (que según la tasa representativa de mercado a Ene 16, 2014 equivale a $1943 Pesos), sin embargo, al TRM debemos agregar la ganancia de las casas de cambio que es de aproximadamente un 3% lo que coloca el monto en 2001,00 PesosCOL. Ahora dividimos ese monto por la cantidad de Pesos que recibimos por un Bolívar fuerte, que según las casas de cambio hoy en Cúcuta equivale a $27 Pesos). Por tanto, aplicando la formula obtendremos la cantidad de Bolívares fuertes necesarios para comprar un Dolar en la frontera.

$2001,00 PesosCOL
_______________________ = BsF. 74,11 por Dolar

$27 PesosCOL (BsF. 1,00)

Para nuestro segundo valor, el Implícito, la formula se basa en indicadores económicos provistos por el Banco Central de Venezuela. 

Esta consiste en dividir la Liquidez monetaria (M2) entre las reservas Internacionales, por tanto si La Liquidez Monetaria reportada por el Banco Central de Venezuela a Enero 14, 2014 es de BsF. 1.206.891.119.000,00 y las reservas internacionales son US$ 20.833.000.000,00 aplicando la formula obtendremos:

BsF. 1.206.891.119.000,00 (Liquidez Monetaria)
__________________________________________ = BsF. 57,93
US$ 20.833.000.000,00 (Reservas Internacionales)

El Tercer valor es el promedio de los valores Cúcuta e Implícito por tanto:

BsF. 74,11 + BsF. 57,93
___________________ = BsF. 66,02

¿Sencillo verdad? 

Los datos que reporta DolarToday se basan en información disponible públicamente y que puede ser corroborada por cualquiera. 

Te mostramos las formulas e incluso los datos correspondientes al cambio para que tu mismo confirmes la información.


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