By Will Cavan
International Mango Organization (IMO)
Mango World Magazine (MWM)
September 12, 2014
A looming El Nino , which always brings drought for Brazil has impacted the Crop projection for the Current mango season from Brazil.
Brazil expects to export roughly 10% less than the standard 6 million (4kg) cartons to the USA market.
The estimated 5.5 million cartons have already begun arriving in North American markets and are expected to enjoy a relatively high return to growers as markets are clamouring for fruit.
The Mexican Mango season has dried up and Brazil enjoys a unique position as Ecuador is running two weeks late this year and should not have any fruit in the USA market until October.
Current FOBs are running in the $8.00-10.75 / carton range and are expected to go as high as $12.00 per carton if projections of an El Nino come true.
All of Ecuadors varieties are running approximatelt two week late this year and that leaves Brazil in a very unique position.
In addition to Ecuador's set back, shipments from Brazil have been running extremely light this year.
The first four weeks of shipments from Brazil were averaging just 40 containers with nearly 6,000 (4kg) cartons each. This compared with shipments out of Mexico that reached as many as 3 million cartons on a weekly basis.
This past weeks shipments from Brazil for the North American market totalled 52 containers and weekly shipments are expected to rise as the crop reaches its peak harvest.
Brazil expects to get in and out of the North American market while dodging Ecuador's peak shipments this year.